Posts Tagged ‘Housing Slump’

The Real Estate Market

Saturday, February 13th, 2010

The Obama administration apportioned a large chunk of the $787 billion stimulus package to help the ailing mortgage industry. The housing plan involves extending $75 billion to about nine million Americans who are threatened to lose their homes via foreclosure. The US mortgage market is estimated to be $10,000 billion.

Barely a month from approving the stimulus package, the plan seems to have a positive effect already. On March 17, the Commerce Department announced that the construction of new homes and apartments last month February has risen sharply by 22.2 percent compared to the month of January. This increase has been observed throughout the country, except in the western states which was heavily affected by the housing slump.

One factor that attributed to this increase is the dirt cheap house prices. Since the start of the mortgage crisis, million dollar houses are now just a shadow of their past values. First American CoreLogic reported that “about 8.31 million properties had negative equity at the end of 2008″. This means that a lot of homeowners owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. The cheap prices have prompted a lot of investors awash with cash to snap houses at bargain prices in bulk. In fact, housing sales in some parts of the country had also jumped to surprising levels. For example in Cape Coral, Florida house sales has also gone up by a whooping 103 percent.

Another factor to consider is the decreasing mortgage rate. According to a survey conducted by Freddie Mac, the “30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.16 percent for the week ending February 12, 2009″. In mortgage terms, this is a substantial decrease to last year’s 5.72 percent. This low rate is “offering many homeowners an incentive to refinance. This would translate into a monthly payment savings of around $188 on a $200,000 mortgage”, according to the Vice President of Freddie Mac.

Rate source: Mortgage Rates

The low mortgage rate also encourages other people to buy new homes. As evidenced by the increase in mortgage applications and mortgage refinance applications. There’s data supporting the observation that the sudden spike is not just a flash in the pan. The economic crisis has changed the savings habits of the general public. The U.S. savings rate has been going up and is now 3.6 percent, up from 2.8 percent in November last year. This translates to enough spending power that could sustain the growth in the housing sector. The confidence in the economy is also high considering the fact that the stock market has been on the up hill run for the past two weeks. The Dow Jones industrial index is now up to 7,278 points as of March 20.

Meanwhile record high unemployment continues. Unemployment rate stands at 8.1 percent for the month of February and is expected to reach 10 percent by year end. Just recently Caterpillar Inc. announced to lay off more than 2,400 jobs in the US, while Nokia will lay off another 1,700 staff in its worldwide operation. The increasing unemployment rate may dampen the gains made in the housing industry as more unemployed means, less people can afford to purchase homes or even pay regularly their mortgage commitments. There is strong correlation in the housing demand and unemployment rate. In the western states where the housing problem is worst, the unemployment rate is also high. It seems tacking the crisis will take more than just one strategy. This means the government will need to focus on generating employment and not just focus on propping up the housing industry.

Jason P. Jones

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Buying Bad Mortgages to Save the Market

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

Angel Gutierrez believes he is the answer to the current housing slump as he buys off bad mortgages.

He buys mortgages in bulk, often a dozen at a time, at a fraction of their value from lending institutions unable to cope with the high number of defaults which they are seeing at the moment.

After buying the mortgages, Mr Gutierrez goes door to door negotiating lower repayments for homeowners. If that approach is not successful of possible, he offers to pay cash strapped homeowners to move house.

After the struggling homeowners move out, Mr Gutierrez sells their house at a reasonable rate, making a profit for himself and relieving the burden on the mortgage market.

His approach weeds out the most unreliable borrowers from the housing market and establishes a set price for the homes.

“You buy the mortgage for pennies on the dollar, carry the big stick, tell the homeowner how it’s going to be, then double your money very easily,” Gutierrez said.

Last month, Gutierrez visited a pleasant town where he had been informed by the mortgage servicer that there were three beautiful homes there where no mortgage payments had been made for months.

Gutierrez had gained control of the mortgages and was on his way to pay a visit to the homeowners there who were defaulting on their mortgage payments. He says that a visit from him is more welcome than a visit from a debt collector or repo man.

One of the houses he approached was the home of Armida and Gilberto Leos. Armida says that her husband had to come out of retirement after their mortgage repayments rose from $2,400 per month to $3,200.

She said “I feel really bad for my husband because he worked his heart out to get us into this house and now we’re losing it.”

The Leos family are in severe negative equity, owing $455,000 on their mortgage despite the house recently being valued at $193,000.

Carys Robshaw

Carys is an author of several articles pertaining to Mortgages. He is known for his expertise on the subject and on other Business and Finance related articles.